Author: Anatoly Zhigljavsky; Jack Noonan
Title: Generic probabilistic modelling and non-homogeneity issues for the UK epidemic of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: gm1mb8w5_39
Snippet: Let t 0 be the moment of time when the isolation occurs. It is natural to define t 0 from the condition S(t 0 )/N = x, where, for example, x = 0.9. For t < t 0 , the virus has been transmitted to people uniformly so that, conditionally a virus is transmitted, the probability that it reaches a person from group G is α. For t ≥ t 0 , the virus has been transmitted to people in such a way that, conditionally a virus is 5 . CC-BY-NC 4.0 Internatio.....
Document: Let t 0 be the moment of time when the isolation occurs. It is natural to define t 0 from the condition S(t 0 )/N = x, where, for example, x = 0.9. For t < t 0 , the virus has been transmitted to people uniformly so that, conditionally a virus is transmitted, the probability that it reaches a person from group G is α. For t ≥ t 0 , the virus has been transmitted to people in such a way that, conditionally a virus is 5 . CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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