Author: Nicholas Gray; Dominic Calleja; Alex Wimbush; Enrique Miralles-Dolz; Ander Gray; Marco De-Angelis; Elfride Derrer-Merk; Bright Uchenna Oparaji; Vladimir Stepanov; Louis Clearkin; Scott Ferson
Title: No test is better than a bad test"": Impact of diagnostic uncertainty in mass testing on the spread of Covid-19 Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: 2jwuzfan_48
Snippet: The danger of such an approach is the false positives. We demonstrate the impact of people reentering the susceptible population who have no immunity. We assume their propensity to contract the infection is the same as those without this the false sense of security a positive test may engender. On an individual basis, and even at the population level, behavioural differences between those with false security from a positive antibody test, versus .....
Document: The danger of such an approach is the false positives. We demonstrate the impact of people reentering the susceptible population who have no immunity. We assume their propensity to contract the infection is the same as those without this the false sense of security a positive test may engender. On an individual basis, and even at the population level, behavioural differences between those with false security from a positive antibody test, versus those who are uncertain about their viral history could be significant. The model parametrisation here does not include this additional confounding effect.
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