Author: Davis, Jessica T.; Chinazzi, Matteo; Perra, Nicola; Mu, Kunpeng; Piontti, Ana Pastore y; Ajelli, Marco; Dean, Natalie E.; Gioannini, Corrado; Litvinova, Maria; Merler, Stefano; Rossi, Luca; Sun, Kaiyuan; Xiong, Xinyue; Halloran, M. Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M.; Viboud, Cécile; Vespignani, Alessandro
Title: Estimating the establishment of local transmission and the cryptic phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA Cord-id: p8ufnm9o Document date: 2020_8_28
ID: p8ufnm9o
Snippet: We use a global metapopulation transmission model to study the establishment of sustained and undetected community transmission of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. The model is calibrated on international case importations from mainland China and takes into account travel restrictions to and from international destinations. We estimate widespread community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in February, 2020. Modeling results indicate international travel as the key driver of the introduction
Document: We use a global metapopulation transmission model to study the establishment of sustained and undetected community transmission of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. The model is calibrated on international case importations from mainland China and takes into account travel restrictions to and from international destinations. We estimate widespread community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in February, 2020. Modeling results indicate international travel as the key driver of the introduction of SARS-CoV-2 in the West and East Coast metropolitan areas that could have been seeded as early as late-December, 2019. For most of the continental states the largest contribution of imported infections arrived through domestic travel flows.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- local national and low medium high: 1, 2
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date