Author: Luis Angel Hierro-Recio; Antonio Jose Garzon-Gordon; Pedro Atienza-Montero; Jose Luis Marquez
Title: Predicting clinical needs derived from the COVID-19 pandemic: the case of Spain Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: aidtsyo1_39
Snippet: Moreover, a second issue arises in one of the dependent variables. The number of patients in the UCIs represents the actual number of patients there, but not the number of patients who are in need of intensive care. If ICUs are swamped, medical staff will be forced to ethically screen critical patients 10 , such that data will cease to be representative of clinical needs and will become representative of the limited resources available. If we con.....
Document: Moreover, a second issue arises in one of the dependent variables. The number of patients in the UCIs represents the actual number of patients there, but not the number of patients who are in need of intensive care. If ICUs are swamped, medical staff will be forced to ethically screen critical patients 10 , such that data will cease to be representative of clinical needs and will become representative of the limited resources available. If we consider that this need to screen will increase the more the pandemic spreads and the greater the number of patients in need of ICU care, the model may be underestimating ICU needs as infection expands. Moreover, any improvement in clinical pharmacological treatment using antivirals in the pre-ICU admission stage will entail an overestimation of needs.
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