Author: Luis Angel Hierro-Recio; Antonio Jose Garzon-Gordon; Pedro Atienza-Montero; Jose Luis Marquez
Title: Predicting clinical needs derived from the COVID-19 pandemic: the case of Spain Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: aidtsyo1_25
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is We proceed in the same way in the case of deaths caused by COVID-19. Table 3 shows the different forecast performance indicators calculated for the different models in equation (2) using up to 10 delays. According to the estimates, we select the model that includes the explanatory variable with five delays, since it produces the lowest values for the four different measures o.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is We proceed in the same way in the case of deaths caused by COVID-19. Table 3 shows the different forecast performance indicators calculated for the different models in equation (2) using up to 10 delays. According to the estimates, we select the model that includes the explanatory variable with five delays, since it produces the lowest values for the four different measures of forecast performance (RMSE, MSE, MAPE, and SMAPE). We select the five-day delayed model, since it shows the best forecast performance according to the indicators.
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