Author: pierre magal; Glenn Webb
Title: Predicting the number of reported and unreported cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in South Korea, Italy, France and Germany Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: 9zeqigqa_21
Snippet: We assume f = 0.6 or f = 0.1, which means that 40% or 90% of symptomatic infectious cases go unreported. The actual value of f is unknown. We assume η = 1/7, which means that the average period of infectiousness of both unreported symptomatic infectious individuals and reported symptomatic infectious individuals is 7 days. We assume ν = 1/7, which means that the average period of infectiousness of asymptomatic infectious individuals is 7 days. .....
Document: We assume f = 0.6 or f = 0.1, which means that 40% or 90% of symptomatic infectious cases go unreported. The actual value of f is unknown. We assume η = 1/7, which means that the average period of infectiousness of both unreported symptomatic infectious individuals and reported symptomatic infectious individuals is 7 days. We assume ν = 1/7, which means that the average period of infectiousness of asymptomatic infectious individuals is 7 days. These values can be modified as further epidemiological information becomes known.
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