Selected article for: "epidemic path and time epidemic path"
Author: pierre magal; Glenn Webb
Title: Predicting the number of reported and unreported cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in South Korea, Italy, France and Germany
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
    • ID: 9zeqigqa_28
    Snippet: The date N and the value of µ are chosen so that the cumulative reported cases in the numerical simulation of the epidemic aligns with the cumulative reported case data after day N , when the public measures take effect. In this way we are able to project forward the time-path of the epidemic after the government imposed public restrictions take effect. We illustrate τ (t) in Figure 3 for a typical case. The daily number of reported cases from .....
    Document: The date N and the value of µ are chosen so that the cumulative reported cases in the numerical simulation of the epidemic aligns with the cumulative reported case data after day N , when the public measures take effect. In this way we are able to project forward the time-path of the epidemic after the government imposed public restrictions take effect. We illustrate τ (t) in Figure 3 for a typical case. The daily number of reported cases from the model can be obtained by computing the solution of the following equation:

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