Author: Melanie Bannister-Tyrrell; Anne Meyer; Celine Faverjon; Angus Cameron
Title: Preliminary evidence that higher temperatures are associated with lower incidence of COVID-19, for cases reported globally up to 29th February 2020 Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: drzphrqj_6
Snippet: Four variables were included in the model as potential confounders: the cumulative number of imported cases, time since the first reported case (to account for right-censoring), the median age of the national population (United Nations database, https://ourworldindata.org/age-structure, to account for the higher incidence of severe cases in older people, which may be more readily detected), and the capacity of the country to detect an emerging in.....
Document: Four variables were included in the model as potential confounders: the cumulative number of imported cases, time since the first reported case (to account for right-censoring), the median age of the national population (United Nations database, https://ourworldindata.org/age-structure, to account for the higher incidence of severe cases in older people, which may be more readily detected), and the capacity of the country to detect an emerging infectious disease. The Global Health Security Index (GHSI) (https://www.ghsindex.org/) publishes a country-level score (out of 100) for capacity for "early detection and reporting for epidemics of potential concern". This indicator is a weighted average of indicators related to laboratory systems, real-time surveillance and reporting, epidemiology workforce, and data integration between human, animal and environmental health sectors, each of which reflects a core capacity defined under the International Health Regulations (2005).
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