Selected article for: "contact rate and long run"
Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; Rene Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Klaus Waelde
Title: Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: neba2o7n_103
    Snippet: The policy e¤ects with lower Let us now return to the uncertainty about the value of the long-run share of infected individuals. We varied r in table 3 such that we could also study a "data-quality adjusted Hubei-scenario" where r implies that there are 6.7 in 1000 (ever) sick individuals. This was discussed after …gure 7. We now study changes in at unchanged r = 0:1 such that we end up at r = 6:7=1000: We therefore reduce by a factor of 10. W.....
    Document: The policy e¤ects with lower Let us now return to the uncertainty about the value of the long-run share of infected individuals. We varied r in table 3 such that we could also study a "data-quality adjusted Hubei-scenario" where r implies that there are 6.7 in 1000 (ever) sick individuals. This was discussed after …gure 7. We now study changes in at unchanged r = 0:1 such that we end up at r = 6:7=1000: We therefore reduce by a factor of 10. We do recalibrate our model for this scenario as a¤ects the calibration outcome. The …t is similarly good to the one discussed after …gure 4. Given the new parameter values, we change the contact rate according to the shut down (16) and the extended shut down (18).

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