Author: Zhou Tang; Xianbin Li; Houqiang Li
Title: Prediction of New Coronavirus Infection Based on a Modified SEIR Model Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: 1mu1z4xd_13
Snippet: In fact, the Wuhan Municipal Government not only implemented the city closure measures on January 23, but also regulated traffic facilities in Wuhan and closed down most public places. We can simulate the intensity of government control by adjusting the average number of people k infected each day. From December 1st to January 23rd, the Wuhan Municipal Government did not take effective isolation measures, so when t <54, k = 5; when t ≥ 54, the .....
Document: In fact, the Wuhan Municipal Government not only implemented the city closure measures on January 23, but also regulated traffic facilities in Wuhan and closed down most public places. We can simulate the intensity of government control by adjusting the average number of people k infected each day. From December 1st to January 23rd, the Wuhan Municipal Government did not take effective isolation measures, so when t <54, k = 5; when t ≥ 54, the government adopted a series of strong measures such as the closure of the city and simulated them separately. The change in the number of infected persons at k = 1 and k = 2 can be obtained in Figures 2 and 3 .
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