Selected article for: "basic reproduction number estimate and cumulative number"
Author: Valentin, Jan Brink
Title: Estimation of Basic Reproduction Number of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Denmark using a Two-Step Model
  • Cord-id: qbmdub4s
  • Document date: 2020_3_22
    • ID: qbmdub4s
    Snippet: Objective: To conduct an early estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number (BRN) induced by government interference, and to project resulting day to day number of in-patients, ICU-patients and cumulative number of deaths in a Danish setting. Method: We used the Kermack and McKendrick model with varying basic reproduction number to estimate number infected and age stratified percentages to estimate number of in-patients, ICU-patients and cumulative number of deaths. Changes in basic reproduction
    Document: Objective: To conduct an early estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number (BRN) induced by government interference, and to project resulting day to day number of in-patients, ICU-patients and cumulative number of deaths in a Danish setting. Method: We used the Kermack and McKendrick model with varying basic reproduction number to estimate number infected and age stratified percentages to estimate number of in-patients, ICU-patients and cumulative number of deaths. Changes in basic reproduction number was estimated based on current in-patient numbers. Results: The basic reproductive number in the time period of February 27th to March 18th was found to be 2.65, however, this number was reduced to 1.99 after March 18th. Keywords: COVID-19, basic reproduction number, Danish population

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