Selected article for: "incubation period time and infectious period time"
Author: Yuan Zhang; Chong You; Zhenghao Cai; Jiarui Sun; Wenjie Hu; Xiao-Hua Zhou
Title: Prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak based on a realistic stochastic model
  • Document date: 2020_3_13
    • ID: 0xzsa21a_126
    Snippet: The recent work of Yang et al. (2020) proposed a discrete time difference equation(DE) which correctly accounted the infectious incubation period. However, they assumed a symptomatic patient is hospitalized ("quarantine" in their term, see Page 4 of Yang et al. (2020) ) immediately at symptom onset, and did not consider the time lag between symptom onset diagnosis/hospitalization. Moreover, the probability of transmission b are questionably assum.....
    Document: The recent work of Yang et al. (2020) proposed a discrete time difference equation(DE) which correctly accounted the infectious incubation period. However, they assumed a symptomatic patient is hospitalized ("quarantine" in their term, see Page 4 of Yang et al. (2020) ) immediately at symptom onset, and did not consider the time lag between symptom onset diagnosis/hospitalization. Moreover, the probability of transmission b are questionably assumed to be the same for both the symptomatic and asymptomatic population. See Page 3-4 of Yang et al. (2020) ; and no medical tracking mechanism has been considered. Finally,

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