Author: Sang Woo Park; Kaiyuan Sun; Cécile Viboud; Bryan T Grenfell; Jonathan Dushoff
Title: Potential roles of social distancing in mitigating the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in South Korea Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 7t3ci8tl_40
Snippet: To account for right-censoring in the reported cases, we also estimated time-dependent forward onset-to-confirmation delay distribution using the same negative-binomial regression model: Given a cohort of infected individuals who became symptomatic on the same day, what is the probability distribution of the onset-to-confirmation delay? The forward delay distribution reflects the changes in the accuracy of case identification -e.g., a decrease in.....
Document: To account for right-censoring in the reported cases, we also estimated time-dependent forward onset-to-confirmation delay distribution using the same negative-binomial regression model: Given a cohort of infected individuals who became symptomatic on the same day, what is the probability distribution of the onset-to-confirmation delay? The forward delay distribution reflects the changes in the accuracy of case identification -e.g., a decrease in the delay reflects improvement in accuracy.
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