Author: LiXiang Li; ZiHang Yang; ZhongKai Dang; Cui Meng; JingZe Huang; HaoTian Meng; DeYu Wang; GuanHua Chen; JiaXuan Zhang; HaiPeng Peng
Title: Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_18
ID: nf51yjmj_8
Snippet: According to the comparison between the official epidemic data and simulation data of Hubei Province (see Figure 1 for details), we can see that the model simulation curve of the number of confirmed infections, the number of cured people and the number of dead people matches the official data curve very well. According to the curve of simulated number of infected persons and the curve of official number of infected persons, we can see that there .....
Document: According to the comparison between the official epidemic data and simulation data of Hubei Province (see Figure 1 for details), we can see that the model simulation curve of the number of confirmed infections, the number of cured people and the number of dead people matches the official data curve very well. According to the curve of simulated number of infected persons and the curve of official number of infected persons, we can see that there is a certain gap between the number of infected persons before February 12, and the others are basically the same. (after the official announced the method of clinical diagnosis of pneumonia on February 12, the data on that day surged to 14000, indicating that the official data had some omissions before February 12, and our model give a more accurate response to the number of actual cases).
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