Author: MERIEM ALLALI; PATRICK PORTECOP; MICHEL CARLES; DOMINIQUE GIBERT
Title: Prediction of the time evolution of the COVID-19 disease in Guadeloupe with a stochastic evolutionary model Document date: 2020_4_16
ID: cm678hn4_20
Snippet: 2. state "I" for infectious is for people infected by COVID-19 and presenting either no or only minor symptoms. These persons are likely to remain undetected by the medical services and expected to pursue their daily activities and maintain contacts with other people. By this way, they are the primary cause of infection diffusion among the set of "S" nodes. The basic reproductive number, R 0 , defined as the likely number of "S" infected by a sin.....
Document: 2. state "I" for infectious is for people infected by COVID-19 and presenting either no or only minor symptoms. These persons are likely to remain undetected by the medical services and expected to pursue their daily activities and maintain contacts with other people. By this way, they are the primary cause of infection diffusion among the set of "S" nodes. The basic reproductive number, R 0 , defined as the likely number of "S" infected by a single "I" case during his infectious period T I . We note N I the instantaneous number of "I" patients.
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