Author: Rajesh Ranjan
Title: Predictions for COVID-19 outbreak in India using Epidemiological models Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 3vntjg8d_4
Snippet: We have also considered the possible effects of social distancing on the growth of infections. India announced a countrywide lockdown on March 24 for 21 days although a study by Singh and Adhikari [9] have suggested that this period may be insufficient for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. In the present study, we assessed the effects of social distancing measures from the time of spread, by comparing lockdown status of India with several other .....
Document: We have also considered the possible effects of social distancing on the growth of infections. India announced a countrywide lockdown on March 24 for 21 days although a study by Singh and Adhikari [9] have suggested that this period may be insufficient for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. In the present study, we assessed the effects of social distancing measures from the time of spread, by comparing lockdown status of India with several other countries, and states in the US and China. It is shown that the early action of lockdown in India, compared to many other countries/states, can have a favourable effect in limiting the final epidemic size. However, social and economical issues in a country of 1.34 billion population with high density pose significant challenges in enforcing strict social distancing.
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