Selected article for: "lockdown day and social distancing"
Author: Debashree Ray; Maxwell Salvatore; Rupam Bhattacharyya; Lili Wang; Shariq Mohammed; Soumik Purkayastha; Aritra Halder; Alexander Rix; Daniel Barker; Michael Kleinsasser; Yiwang Zhou; Peter Song; Debraj Bose; Mousumi Banerjee; Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani; Parikshit Ghosh; Bhramar Mukherjee
Title: Predictions, role of interventions and effects of a historic national lockdown in India's response to the COVID-19 pandemic: data science call to arms
  • Document date: 2020_4_18
    • ID: 3a3c8ee1_27
    Snippet: We took a close look at what might be coming in the next few months, based on what we have seen in other countries and an epidemiological model that has been gainfully employed to assess the effect of interventions in Hubei province. 11 We estimated that 26 (upper 95% CI 135) and 177 (upper 95% CI 2869) cases per 100,000 are avoided by May 15 and June 15, respectively, by instituting a 21-day lockdown with a 1-week delay in people's adherence and.....
    Document: We took a close look at what might be coming in the next few months, based on what we have seen in other countries and an epidemiological model that has been gainfully employed to assess the effect of interventions in Hubei province. 11 We estimated that 26 (upper 95% CI 135) and 177 (upper 95% CI 2869) cases per 100,000 are avoided by May 15 and June 15, respectively, by instituting a 21-day lockdown with a 1-week delay in people's adherence and a cautious release compared to perpetual social distancing and travel ban (without lockdown) ( Figure 5 ). This boils down to preventing roughly 343 thousand (upper 95% CI 1.8 million) and 2.4 million (upper 95% CI 38.4 million) COVID-19 cases nationwide by May 15 and June 15, respectively.

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