Selected article for: "case number and total case number"
Author: Ira B Schwartz; James H Kaufman; Kun Hu; Simone Bianco
Title: Predicting the impact of asymptomatic transmission, non-pharmaceutical intervention and testing on the spread of COVID19 COVID19
  • Document date: 2020_4_22
    • ID: 6okpsuvu_11
    Snippet: When evaluating the effect of NPIs, we calculate the total cumulative incidence (including asymptomatics) caused by releasing intervention for a sample population of 100000 people (Figures 3 and 4) . Simulations show that early release of intervention causes an expected total number of cases similar to the case of no intervention. If one considers asymptomatics to make for 1 in 4 people as suggested by the CDC, release at later time show a delay .....
    Document: When evaluating the effect of NPIs, we calculate the total cumulative incidence (including asymptomatics) caused by releasing intervention for a sample population of 100000 people (Figures 3 and 4) . Simulations show that early release of intervention causes an expected total number of cases similar to the case of no intervention. If one considers asymptomatics to make for 1 in 4 people as suggested by the CDC, release at later time show a delay in the peak and a reduction in cumulative incidence between ≈ 10% and 20%, which translates 4 . CC-BY 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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