A correlation study between meteorological parameters and COVID-19 pandemic in Mumbai, India

Kumar, Gaurav; Kumar, Rituraj

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Meteorological parameters play a major role in the transmission of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this study, we aim to analyze the correlation between meteorological parameters and COVID-19 pandemic in the financial capital of India, Mumbai. METHODS: In this research, we collected data from April 27 till July 25, 2020 (90 days). A Spearman rank correlation test along with two-tailed p test and an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique have been used to predict the associations of COVID-19 with meteorological parameters. RESULTS: A significant correlation of COVID-19 was found with temperature (T(min)), dew point (DP(max)), relative humidity (RH(max), RH(avg), RH(min)) and surface pressure (P(max), P(avg), P(min)). The parameters which showed significant correlation were then taken for the modeling and prediction of COVID-19 infections using Artificial Neural Network technique. CONCLUSIONS: It was found that the relative humidity and pressure parameters had the most influencing effect out of all other significant parameters (obtained from Spearman's method) on the active number of COVID-19 cases. The finding in this study might be useful for the public, local authorities, and the Ministry of Health, Govt. of India to combat COVID-19.