Author: KV Parag; CA Donnelly
Title: Optimising Renewal Models for Real-Time Epidemic Prediction and Estimation Document date: 2019_11_8
ID: 9t5ncsig_5
Snippet: . We assume a gamma conjugate prior distribution on R τ (s) as in 135 [8] . For some hyperparameters a and c this is R τ (s) ∼ Gam (a, 1 /c), with Gam 136 as a standard shape-scale parametrised gamma distribution. The posterior dis-137 tribution of R τ (s) is P(R τ (s) | I s s−k+1 ) and is described in Eq. (1) [8] . 138 R τ (s) | I t s−k+1 ∼ Gam a + i τ (s) ,.....
Document: . We assume a gamma conjugate prior distribution on R τ (s) as in 135 [8] . For some hyperparameters a and c this is R τ (s) ∼ Gam (a, 1 /c), with Gam 136 as a standard shape-scale parametrised gamma distribution. The posterior dis-137 tribution of R τ (s) is P(R τ (s) | I s s−k+1 ) and is described in Eq. (1) [8] . 138 R τ (s) | I t s−k+1 ∼ Gam a + i τ (s) ,
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