Author: Emma Southall; Michael J. Tildesley; Louise Dyson
Title: Prospects for detecting early warning signals in discrete event sequence data: application to epidemiological incidence data Document date: 2020_4_2
ID: dp4qv77q_58
Snippet: Here, we quantify these time series trends for each statistical indicator using the 431 Kendall-Tau score as a measure of an overall increasing or decreasing trend. We present 432 in Fig. 3 the predictive power of each statistical indicator using its time-changing trend 433 to classify simulations as either extinct (Ext simulations), emerging (Emg simulations) 434 or null simulations (Fix simulations). We calculate the area under the ROC curve 43.....
Document: Here, we quantify these time series trends for each statistical indicator using the 431 Kendall-Tau score as a measure of an overall increasing or decreasing trend. We present 432 in Fig. 3 the predictive power of each statistical indicator using its time-changing trend 433 to classify simulations as either extinct (Ext simulations), emerging (Emg simulations) 434 or null simulations (Fix simulations). We calculate the area under the ROC curve 435 (AUC) by comparing the Kendall-tau score calculated over each time series up to two 436 end points: before the critical transition (t 1 ) and after the critical transition (t 2 ) which 437 gives an overall score of the true/false positive rate.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- area calculate and positive rate: 1, 2
- area calculate and predictive power: 1
- area calculate and ROC curve: 1, 2
- critical transition and Kendall Tau score: 1, 2, 3
- critical transition and positive rate: 1
- critical transition and ROC curve: 1
- decrease overall increase and overall increase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- decrease overall increase and overall score: 1
- decrease overall increase trend and overall increase: 1
- false positive rate and positive rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- false positive rate and predictive power: 1
- false positive rate and ROC curve: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- Kendall Tau score and positive rate: 1
- Kendall Tau score and ROC curve: 1
- overall increase and positive rate: 1, 2, 3
- overall increase and predictive power: 1
- overall score and positive rate: 1, 2, 3
- overall score and ROC curve: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- positive rate and ROC curve: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date