Author: Liangde Xu; Jian Yuan; Yaru Zhang; Guosi Zhang; Fan Lu; Jianzhong Su; Jia Qu
Title: Highland of COVID-19 outside Hubei: epidemic characteristics, control and projections of Wenzhou, China Document date: 2020_2_29
ID: acmfhbtm_7
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.25.20024398 doi: medRxiv preprint A total of 434 incidence, 31 severe case, 99 hospital discharges and 5304 probable COVID-19 cases were reported before February 10, 2020, and 168 patients who visited Wuhan after the onset of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. The median age of persons with COVID-19 was 47 years; 48 cases (11.1%) occurred in person.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.25.20024398 doi: medRxiv preprint A total of 434 incidence, 31 severe case, 99 hospital discharges and 5304 probable COVID-19 cases were reported before February 10, 2020, and 168 patients who visited Wuhan after the onset of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. The median age of persons with COVID-19 was 47 years; 48 cases (11.1%) occurred in persons 65 years of age or older, and 5 (1.2%) were in children younger than 15 years of age (Table) . The maximum number of illness onset in Wenzhou appeared on January 26 (38 cases). Since January 27, the incidence per day in Wenzhou has continued to decline is likely to be due to isolation of people return to Wenzhou, implementation of region quarantine and suspension of public transportation system. Under the current control efforts, we estimate that the daily incidence by March 3-9, 2020 will drop to 0 in Wenzhou using SEIR model. The total number of affected people is 538 (95% CI: 534-542
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