Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against variants of concern, Canada

Nasreen, S.; He, S.; Chung, H.; Brown, K. A.; Gubbay, J. B.; Buchan, S. A.; Wilson, S. E.; Sundaram, M. E.; Fell, D. B.; Chen, B.; Calzavara, A.; Austin, P. C.; Schwartz, K. L.; Tadrous, M.; Wilson, K.; Kwong, J. C.

Objectives: To estimate the effectiveness of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech), mRNA-1273 (Moderna), and ChAdOx1 (AstraZeneca) vaccines against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe outcomes (COVID-19 hospitalization or death) caused by the Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Gamma (P.1), and Delta (B.1.617.2) variants of concern (VOCs) during December 2020 to May 2021. Methods: We conducted a test-negative design study using linked population-wide vaccination, laboratory testing, and health administrative databases in Ontario, Canada. Results: Against symptomatic infection caused by Alpha, vaccine effectiveness with partial vaccination ([≥]14 days after dose 1) was higher for mRNA-1273 than BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1. Full vaccination ([≥]7 days after dose 2) increased vaccine effectiveness for BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 against Alpha. Protection against symptomatic infection caused by Beta/Gamma was lower with partial vaccination for ChAdOx1 than mRNA-1273. Against Delta, vaccine effectiveness after partial vaccination tended to be lower than against Alpha for BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273, but was similar to Alpha for ChAdOx1. Full vaccination with BNT162b2 increased protection against Delta to levels comparable to Alpha and Beta/Gamma. Vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization or death caused by all studied VOCs was generally higher than for symptomatic infection after partial vaccination with all three vaccines. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that even a single dose of these 3 vaccine products provide good to excellent protection against symptomatic infection and severe outcomes caused by the 4 currently circulating variants of concern, and that 2 doses are likely to provide even higher protection.