Author: Stephen M Kissler; Christine Tedijanto; Edward Goldstein; Yonatan H. Grad; Marc Lipsitch
Title: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: f4hj35dr_15
Snippet: could make SARS-CoV-2 appear to die out, only to resurge after a few years. Even if SARS-CoV-2 immunity only lasts for two years, mild (30%) cross-immunity from HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-HKU1 could effectively eliminate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 for up to three years before a resurgence in 2025, as long as SARS-CoV-2 does not fully die out (Fig 3D) . author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity......
Document: could make SARS-CoV-2 appear to die out, only to resurge after a few years. Even if SARS-CoV-2 immunity only lasts for two years, mild (30%) cross-immunity from HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-HKU1 could effectively eliminate the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 for up to three years before a resurgence in 2025, as long as SARS-CoV-2 does not fully die out (Fig 3D) . author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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