Author: Shao, Nian; Pan, Hanshuang; Li, Xingjie; Li, Weijia; Wang, Shufen; Xuan, Yan; Yan, Yue; Jiang, Yu; Liu, Keji; Chen, Yu; Xu, Boxi; Luo, Xinyue; Shen, Christopher Y.; Zhong, Min; Xu, Xiang; Chen, Xu; Lu, Shuai; Ding, Guanghong; Cheng, Jin; Chen, Wenbin
Title: CoVID-19 in Japan: What could happen in the future? Cord-id: u6b8iwr0 Document date: 2020_2_23
ID: u6b8iwr0
Snippet: COVID-19 has been impacting on the whole world critically and constantly Since December 2019. We have independently developed a novel statistical time delay dynamic model on the basis of the distribution models from CCDC. Based only on the numbers of confirmed cases in different regions in China, the model can clearly reveal that the containment of the epidemic highly depends on early and effective isolation. We apply the model on the epidemic in Japan and conclude that there could be a rapid ou
Document: COVID-19 has been impacting on the whole world critically and constantly Since December 2019. We have independently developed a novel statistical time delay dynamic model on the basis of the distribution models from CCDC. Based only on the numbers of confirmed cases in different regions in China, the model can clearly reveal that the containment of the epidemic highly depends on early and effective isolation. We apply the model on the epidemic in Japan and conclude that there could be a rapid outbreak in Japan if no effective quarantine measures are carried out immediately.
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