Author: Lee Worden; Rae Wannier; Nicole A. Hoff; Kamy Musene; Bernice Selo; Mathias Mossoko; Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy; Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum; George W. Rutherford; Thomas M. Lietman; Anne W. Rimoin; Travis C. Porco; J. Daniel Kelly
Title: Real-time projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an Ebola virus disease outbreak in Northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo Document date: 2018_11_5
ID: 96arnumb_4
Snippet: In order to produce model outbreak trajectories consistent with the case counts 137 reported more recently in the outbreak, it was necessary to make the filtering step of 138 the model more tolerant to variation in counts in order to accommodate the rapidly 139 rising count. This was because higher transmission rates in late September and early 140 October were necessary to generate case counts of that size than were consistent with 141 the earli.....
Document: In order to produce model outbreak trajectories consistent with the case counts 137 reported more recently in the outbreak, it was necessary to make the filtering step of 138 the model more tolerant to variation in counts in order to accommodate the rapidly 139 rising count. This was because higher transmission rates in late September and early 140 October were necessary to generate case counts of that size than were consistent with 141 the earlier counts.
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