Author: Christopher Bronk Ramsey
Title: Human agency and infection rates: implications for social distancing during epidemics Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: dcmcog6l_2
Snippet: The key parameter for understanding the epidemic dynamics is R0, which is the average number of other individuals infected by someone who carries the disease when people are operating normally. If this figure is above 1, then exponential growth is expected until there is saturation due to some form of herd immunity. If the figure is less than 1 then the disease will, in time, be eliminated. As R0 is the initial rate, at this point it is assumed t.....
Document: The key parameter for understanding the epidemic dynamics is R0, which is the average number of other individuals infected by someone who carries the disease when people are operating normally. If this figure is above 1, then exponential growth is expected until there is saturation due to some form of herd immunity. If the figure is less than 1 then the disease will, in time, be eliminated. As R0 is the initial rate, at this point it is assumed that overall infection rates are low and both immunity and the probability of passing on the infection to someone already infected can be ignored.
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