Selected article for: "large number and stochastic model"
Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; Rene Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Klaus Waelde
Title: Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: neba2o7n_4
    Snippet: There is an exploding literature on these issues, especially in medical science. The classic large-scale spatial model is described in Balcan et al. (2010) . It is applied in Chinazzi et al. (2020) to study the e¤ect of a travel ban on China and the world. Akbarpour and Jackson (2018) study a general model of infection, but cannot provide applications to the current epidemic. The widely discussed study by Ferguson et al. (2020) focuses on the US.....
    Document: There is an exploding literature on these issues, especially in medical science. The classic large-scale spatial model is described in Balcan et al. (2010) . It is applied in Chinazzi et al. (2020) to study the e¤ect of a travel ban on China and the world. Akbarpour and Jackson (2018) study a general model of infection, but cannot provide applications to the current epidemic. The widely discussed study by Ferguson et al. (2020) focuses on the US and the UK. 2 An insightful study on the usefulness of isolation strategies for COVID-19 based on a stochastic transition model similar to ours is by Hellewell et al. (2020) . Wilder-Smith et al. (2020) discuss the similarities and di¤erences between the SARS 2003 (severe acute respiratory syndrome) epidemic and COVID-19. One big issue is the large number of "quiet infections"in COVID-19 as opposed to SARS 2003, an aspect we will capture in our model below.

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