Author: Julien Riou; Anthony Hauser; Michel J Counotte; Christian L Althaus
Title: Adjusted age-specific case fatality ratio during the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China, January and February 2020 Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: mrsya6wz_37
Snippet: These estimates of overall mortality among all SARS-CoV-2 infections are of interest for assessment of the potential consequences of the pandemic, e.g. using theoretical estimates of final epidemic size [32] . At the early stage of the epidemic, our estimates from the very different settings of Hubei province and northern Italy are very similar. The findings describe the situation in Hubei before 11 February and in northern Italy before 3 March 2.....
Document: These estimates of overall mortality among all SARS-CoV-2 infections are of interest for assessment of the potential consequences of the pandemic, e.g. using theoretical estimates of final epidemic size [32] . At the early stage of the epidemic, our estimates from the very different settings of Hubei province and northern Italy are very similar. The findings describe the situation in Hubei before 11 February and in northern Italy before 3 March 2020. It was demonstrated in Hubei province, that mortality rates have changed over time as a result of an improvement of the standard of care [4] . Our estimates here correspond to an average value over the considered period, and correspond well to subsequent reports (S1 Text, section 3). In northern Italy, our model estimate of 2,053 (95%CrI:
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