Author: Zhou Tang; Xianbin Li; Houqiang Li
Title: Prediction of New Coronavirus Infection Based on a Modified SEIR Model Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: 1mu1z4xd_14
Snippet: It can be seen from Figure 2 that when the government takes precautionary measures to control the average daily number of contacts per infected person k = 2, it can be seen that the number of infected persons reaches a peak after about 74 days, that is, February 12, 2020, and the number of infected persons is about 106,145 The epidemic situation is expected to come to an end in 90 days; when k = 1, it can be seen from Figure 3 that the number of .....
Document: It can be seen from Figure 2 that when the government takes precautionary measures to control the average daily number of contacts per infected person k = 2, it can be seen that the number of infected persons reaches a peak after about 74 days, that is, February 12, 2020, and the number of infected persons is about 106,145 The epidemic situation is expected to come to an end in 90 days; when k = 1, it can be seen from Figure 3 that the number of infected people reached a peak about 70 days later, that is, February 8, 2020, and the number of infected people was about 74,369. It shows that when the government adopts effective quarantine measures, the number of infected people can be greatly reduced.
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