Author: Musa, Salihu S.; Zhao, Shi; Hussaini, Nafiu; Zhuang, Zian; Wu, Yushan; Abdulhamid, Abdurrahman; Wang, Maggie H.; He, Daihai
Title: Estimation of COVID-19 under-ascertainment in Kano, Nigeria during the early phase of the epidemics Cord-id: sbn2ph82 Document date: 2021_3_16
ID: sbn2ph82
Snippet: Estimating the number of cases under-ascertained by inconsistencies is an essential concept in epidemiology. The aim of this study is to estimate the number of COVID-19 under- ascertained ( η ), and the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) in Kano, Nigeria during the early epidemic period. We adopt a simple exponential growth model to capture the COVID-19 epidemic curve in Kano. Our findings indicate that the early epidemic growth mimics an exponential growth pattern. We find that the number of CO
Document: Estimating the number of cases under-ascertained by inconsistencies is an essential concept in epidemiology. The aim of this study is to estimate the number of COVID-19 under- ascertained ( η ), and the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) in Kano, Nigeria during the early epidemic period. We adopt a simple exponential growth model to capture the COVID-19 epidemic curve in Kano. Our findings indicate that the early epidemic growth mimics an exponential growth pattern. We find that the number of COVID-19 cases under-ascertained likely occurred during the fourth week of April 2020, and should be considered for future epidemiological investigations and mitigation plan.
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