Author: Ali Kyagulanyi; Joel Tibabwetiza Muhanguzi; Oscar Dembe; Sheba Kirabo
Title: RISK ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION FOR COVID19 DEMOGRAPHICS IN LOW RESOURCE SETTINGS USING A PYTHON DESKTOP APP AND EXCEL MODELS. Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 7okyyb2m_11
Snippet: The rate of change of individuals in the three regions with time follows an SIR model. Mathematically the SIR model will capture population changes in each compartment with a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to model the progression of the disease. To get a clearer prediction we have to temporarily ignore the natural birth and death rate in the population, the ODE follows the equation below......
Document: The rate of change of individuals in the three regions with time follows an SIR model. Mathematically the SIR model will capture population changes in each compartment with a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to model the progression of the disease. To get a clearer prediction we have to temporarily ignore the natural birth and death rate in the population, the ODE follows the equation below.
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