The predictive value of high-sensitive troponin I for perioperative risk in patients undergoing gastrointestinal tumor surgery

Zhang, Yitao; Xue, Jiaojie; Zhou, Ling; Si, Jinhong; Cheng, Shiyao; Cheng, Kanglin; Yu, Shuqi; Ouyang, Mao; Chen, Zhichong; Chen, Daici; Zeng, Weijie

BACKGROUND: The incidence of cardiovascular events in perioperative period of gastrointestinal tumor surgery cannot be ignored, and studies have shown that level of postoperative troponin is related to the postoperative risk of non-cardiac surgery. However, the relationship between pre-operative troponin levels and perioperative risk of gastrointestinal tumor surgery is unclear. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the value of high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) prior to gastrointestinal tumor surgery for perioperative risk assessment. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 1259 patients who underwent gastrointestinal tumor surgery and had been tested for hs-cTnI on admission within 7 days prior to surgery were retrospectively recruited from January 2018 to June 2020. The primary combined endpoint including in-hospital all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest or ventricular fibrillation and acute decompensated heart failure. The secondary endpoint included total hospital stay and requirement of intensive care treatment. FINDINGS: Compared with patients with normal hs-cTnI, those with elevated hs-cTnI (> 0·028 ng/ml) were more likely to experience the combined endpoint (28·2% versus 2·7%, P < 0·001) and there was also an increasing rate of in mortality in elevated hs-cTnI group (2·4% versus 0·3%, P = 0·057). The length of total hospital stay was significantly longer in patients with elevated hs-cTnI (24·8 ± 16·3 versus 19·5 ± 7·9, P = 0·003) and the number of patients requiring intensive care treatment was also higher (22·6% versus 4·2%, P < 0·001). The area under the ROC curve assessing hs-cTnI in predicting in-hospital mortality was 0·787 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0·612–0·963, P = 0·015] and for combined endpoint was 0·822 [95% CI 0·766–0·879, P < 0·001]. Hs-cTnI > 0·028 ng/ml was associated with significantly higher cardiovascular event rate in patients with the revised cardiac index ≤ 1. The positive likelihood ratio of hs-cTnI (> 0·028 ng/ml) for predicting combined endpoint reaches 10.5 in patients with Lee index = 0. In multivariate logistic analyses, hs-cTnI was one of the best predictors for the combined endpoint [odds ratio (OR) 5·924 (95%CI: 2·869–12·233), P < 0·001]. INTERPRETATION: Hs-cTnI provides powerful prognostic information for patients undergoing gastrointestinal tumor surgery, and therefore provides reliable prognostic information incremental to revised cardiac index.