Author: Lee Worden; Rae Wannier; Nicole A. Hoff; Kamy Musene; Bernice Selo; Mathias Mossoko; Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy; Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum; George W. Rutherford; Thomas M. Lietman; Anne W. Rimoin; Travis C. Porco; J. Daniel Kelly
Title: Real-time projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an Ebola virus disease outbreak in Northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo Document date: 2018_11_5
ID: 96arnumb_51
Snippet: For each data set, simulations were generated until between 320 and 330 simulated 592 outbreaks were obtained after filtering based on approximate agreement with reported 593 case counts from the current outbreak. parameter values and vaccine scenarios, were continued beyond the particle filtering 596 points to generate a spreading set of projections of case counts at later dates (Fig S6), 597 which was smoothed to create probabilistic projection.....
Document: For each data set, simulations were generated until between 320 and 330 simulated 592 outbreaks were obtained after filtering based on approximate agreement with reported 593 case counts from the current outbreak. parameter values and vaccine scenarios, were continued beyond the particle filtering 596 points to generate a spreading set of projections of case counts at later dates (Fig S6), 597 which was smoothed to create probabilistic projections of future case counts at the 598 desired dates.
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