Author: Andrea Torneri; Amin Azmon; Christel Faes; Eben Kenah; Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba; Jacco Wallinga; Niel Hens
Title: Realized generation times: contraction and impact of infectious period, reproduction number and population size Document date: 2019_3_8
ID: ag9mzwkx_14
Snippet: • the population size: N=100, 500 and 1000 129 We work with a completely susceptible and closed population and report, based on 130 1000 simulations, the mean duration of an epidemic (T max ), the mean final size (F s ), 131 and the averages of mean forward (ω f ) and mean backward generation times (ω b ). We 132 study non-extinct outbreaks or outbreaks that persist, i.e. outbreaks in which a 133 substantial proportion of the population is in.....
Document: • the population size: N=100, 500 and 1000 129 We work with a completely susceptible and closed population and report, based on 130 1000 simulations, the mean duration of an epidemic (T max ), the mean final size (F s ), 131 and the averages of mean forward (ω f ) and mean backward generation times (ω b ). We 132 study non-extinct outbreaks or outbreaks that persist, i.e. outbreaks in which a 133 substantial proportion of the population is infected, i.e. with final size larger than 10% 134 of the total population. Contraction of the mean forward generation time 148 We introduce three summary measures to account for competition and depletion. In case the interest is in competition, we compute the relative number of generations affected by competition p c , i.e. the number of generations for which more than an individual propose an infectious contact to a specific susceptible over the total number of generations; we report also the mean number of competitors when there is competition, µ c . In case interest is in depletion, we compute the maximum depletion ϕ that is defined to be:
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