Author: Tuge Deressa, Chernet; File Duressa, Gemechis
Title: Modeling and Optimal Control Analysis of Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19: The Case of Ethiopia Cord-id: uwzmvlr4 Document date: 2020_10_9
ID: uwzmvlr4
Snippet: A mathematical model to estimate transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is developed. A real data of confirmed cases for Ethiopia is used for parameter estimation via model fitting. Results showed that, the diseases free and endemic equilibrium points are found to be locally and globally asymptotically stable for Ro<1 and Ro>1 respectively. The basic reproduction number is Ro=1.5085. Optimal control analysis also showed that, combination of optimal preventive strategies such as public health educatio
Document: A mathematical model to estimate transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is developed. A real data of confirmed cases for Ethiopia is used for parameter estimation via model fitting. Results showed that, the diseases free and endemic equilibrium points are found to be locally and globally asymptotically stable for Ro<1 and Ro>1 respectively. The basic reproduction number is Ro=1.5085. Optimal control analysis also showed that, combination of optimal preventive strategies such as public health education, personal protective measures and treatment of hospitalized cases are effective to significantly decrease the number of COVID-19 cases in different compartments of the model.
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