Author: Omer Karin; Yinon M. Bar-On; Tomer Milo; Itay Katzir; Avi Mayo; Yael Korem; Boaz Dudovich; Amos J. Zehavi; Nadav Davidovich; Ron Milo; Uri Alon
Title: Adaptive cyclic exit strategies from lockdown to suppress COVID-19 and allow economic activity Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 5xfgmi2n_9
Snippet: The antiphasing effect uses the timescales of the virus against itself (Fig. 3) . Most infected people are close to peak infectiousness for about 3-5 days, beginning ≈3 days after being exposed ( 8 , 9 ) . A proper work-lockdown cycle, such as a 4-work:10-lockdown schedule, allows most of those infected during work days to reach maximal infectiousness during lockdown, and thus avoid infecting many others. Those with symptoms can be infectious f.....
Document: The antiphasing effect uses the timescales of the virus against itself (Fig. 3) . Most infected people are close to peak infectiousness for about 3-5 days, beginning ≈3 days after being exposed ( 8 , 9 ) . A proper work-lockdown cycle, such as a 4-work:10-lockdown schedule, allows most of those infected during work days to reach maximal infectiousness during lockdown, and thus avoid infecting many others. Those with symptoms can be infectious for longer ( 9 ) , but can be detected by their symptoms and remain (self-)quarantined along with their household members, preventing secondary infections outside the household. Similarly, asymptomatic cases infected at work will spend the majority of their peak infectious period under lockdown. Family-level and work level rapid testing and quarantine when symptoms arise can help shorten infection chains.
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