Author: Nipun aggarwal
Title: Importance of Social Distancing: Modeling the spread of 2019-nCoV using Susceptible-Infected-Quarantined-Recovered-t model Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: lp4vhwsz_1
Snippet: The Novel Coronavirus that originated in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China, has been declared a global pandemic [1, 2] . It is majorly spread through persistence on inanimate surfaces and is similar to outbreaks of SARS and MERS, originating through bats [3, 4] . Studies on the nature of the virus have suggested different incubation periods of the virus, and reports have suggested a median incubation period of 5-6 days and a very high symptom p.....
Document: The Novel Coronavirus that originated in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China, has been declared a global pandemic [1, 2] . It is majorly spread through persistence on inanimate surfaces and is similar to outbreaks of SARS and MERS, originating through bats [3, 4] . Studies on the nature of the virus have suggested different incubation periods of the virus, and reports have suggested a median incubation period of 5-6 days and a very high symptom probability period of 14 days [5] . The virus is transmitted through carriers even before their symptoms show [6] . The article suggests the simulation on Online Social Networks that resemble human interactions, using time-variant infection rates that accommodate the dormancy and incubation period of the novel virus, to simulate the spread of the virus among people. This research aims to provide a mathematical model for the spread and control of the virus, considering the control measures of quarantine and social distancing. The results shall highlight the importance of early-detection, selfquarantine and hygiene practices.
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