Author: Francisco Perez-Reche; Norval Strachan
Title: Importance of untested infectious individuals for the suppression of COVID-19 epidemics Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: i2rmc37q_41
Snippet: The models assume immunity after recovery from infection but whether or not this is the case is still unclear 39 . Our model could easily be extended to account for re-infections and predictions might significantly change. There is also a growing body of evidence for pre-symptomatic transmission [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] . There is the potential to incorporate this in our models by varying the incubation rate parameter. Finally it is unknown what .....
Document: The models assume immunity after recovery from infection but whether or not this is the case is still unclear 39 . Our model could easily be extended to account for re-infections and predictions might significantly change. There is also a growing body of evidence for pre-symptomatic transmission [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] . There is the potential to incorporate this in our models by varying the incubation rate parameter. Finally it is unknown what percentage of the population is actually susceptible. Here it is assumed all of the population are susceptible but it may be that a proportion are not for genetic reasons 45 or due to cross immunity 46 .
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