Selected article for: "early stage and model fit"

Author: Francisco Perez-Reche; Norval Strachan
Title: Importance of untested infectious individuals for the suppression of COVID-19 epidemics
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
  • ID: i2rmc37q_61
    Snippet: We fitted the Model 1 to data. Values for the incubation rate was set to 37 = 1/5.2 days -1 . The free parameters in our fits were the rate of transmission, , proportion of infectious that were tested, , proportion of tested infectious that die, , rate to recovery of tested infectious individuals, , rate of recovery of untested infectious individuals, , and initial number of exposed individuals, (0). We denote the free parameters by a vector = { .....
    Document: We fitted the Model 1 to data. Values for the incubation rate was set to 37 = 1/5.2 days -1 . The free parameters in our fits were the rate of transmission, , proportion of infectious that were tested, , proportion of tested infectious that die, , rate to recovery of tested infectious individuals, , rate of recovery of untested infectious individuals, , and initial number of exposed individuals, (0). We denote the free parameters by a vector = { , , , , , (0)}. The model was fit to the time series for the number of daily reported infected individuals and cumulative deaths, obs = { , } =1 , in a period of days in the early stages of epidemics (here, is used to denote discrete time in days). In particular, we used = 15 days since the first data point with a positive number of deaths (see Table 2 ). We used data at early stage of each outbreak to minimise the influence of suppression strategies on our parameter estimates.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • cumulative death and data point: 1, 2, 3
    • cumulative death and day period: 1, 2
    • cumulative death and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • cumulative death and epidemic early stage: 1, 2
    • daily report and day period: 1
    • daily report and early stage: 1, 2
    • daily report and epidemic early stage: 1
    • data point and day period: 1, 2
    • data point and discrete time: 1
    • data point and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • day period and discrete time: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
    • day period and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
    • day period and epidemic early stage: 1
    • discrete time and early stage: 1, 2, 3
    • discrete time and epidemic early stage: 1, 2
    • early stage and epidemic early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • early stage and free parameter: 1