Author: Pramit Ghosh; Salah Basheer; Sandip Paul; Partha Chakrabarti; Jit Sarkar
Title: Increased Detection coupled with Social Distancing and Health Capacity Planning Reduce the Burden of COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities: A Proof of Concept Study using a Stochastic Computational Simulation Model Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 01f5mvsc_6
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054775 doi: medRxiv preprint 8. Values of exposure events and probability of passing infection from asymptomatic individuals of Exposed (E) compartment to Susceptible population was taken to be 10 and 0.02 (as the duration of infectivity was less in the E compartment compared to the I compartment). The incubation period for COVID-19 .....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054775 doi: medRxiv preprint 8. Values of exposure events and probability of passing infection from asymptomatic individuals of Exposed (E) compartment to Susceptible population was taken to be 10 and 0.02 (as the duration of infectivity was less in the E compartment compared to the I compartment). The incubation period for COVID-19 is 5.2 days [12] and a recent study has shown the median serial interval to be 4.6 days [13] pointing out to the possibility that presymptomatic transmission is possible for COVID-19. 11. Taking all the aforesaid parameters, we ran 8 simulations over 100 days starting from 16 th March, 2020 and expressed the results as the mean of all the runs.
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