Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia

Bushira, Kedir Mohammed

SARS-CoV-2 infections are now spreading across the world. Different measures were used by governments around the world to combat the spread of COVID-19. The efficacy of social distancing approaches in reducing the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia was investigated using geospatial technologies and the CHIME model. The COVID-19 response was predicted, measured, and compared after 25%, 75%, and 95% social distancing interventions in Ethiopia. Social distancing strategies flatten and delay the epidemic curve, according to the model findings. The model result shows that most new events and hospitalizations were avoided when social distancing measures were in effect. Social distancing can provide a critical time for increasing healthcare capability, and the research findings could assist policymakers in estimating the immediate number of resources required and planning for potential COVID-19 initiatives in Ethiopia.