Author: Luca Ferretti; Chris Wymant; Michelle Kendall; Lele Zhao; Anel Nurtay; David G Bonsall; Christophe Fraser
Title: Quantifying dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests that epidemic control and avoidance is feasible through instantaneous digital contact tracing Document date: 2020_3_12
ID: bc9retcq_5
Snippet: We used the exponential growth rate of the epidemic, r, from the early stages of the epidemic in China, such that the effect of control measures discussed later will be relative to the early stages of an outbreak, exemplified by baseline contact patterns and environmental conditions in Hubei during that period. We note that this assumption is implicit in many estimates of R0. The epidemic doubling time T2 is equal to loge(2) / r. We used the valu.....
Document: We used the exponential growth rate of the epidemic, r, from the early stages of the epidemic in China, such that the effect of control measures discussed later will be relative to the early stages of an outbreak, exemplified by baseline contact patterns and environmental conditions in Hubei during that period. We note that this assumption is implicit in many estimates of R0. The epidemic doubling time T2 is equal to loge(2) / r. We used the value r = 0.14 per day (20) , corresponding to a doubling time of 5.0 days.
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