Author: Lichtenthaler Filho, R.; Lichtenthaler, D. G.
Title: A dynamic model for Covid-19 in Brazil. Cord-id: qqr1s9qy Document date: 2020_5_14
ID: qqr1s9qy
Snippet: A dynamic model for the current coronavirus outbreak is presented. The most important parameters are identified which determine the number of cases progression. Results of a numerical simulation are compared with existing data of the number of infections in Sao Paulo and Brazil. On the basis of these results measures are proposed to control the epidemics and to flat the infection curve. A simple three steps procedure is proposed to predict the time evolution of the epidemics and a criteria to re
Document: A dynamic model for the current coronavirus outbreak is presented. The most important parameters are identified which determine the number of cases progression. Results of a numerical simulation are compared with existing data of the number of infections in Sao Paulo and Brazil. On the basis of these results measures are proposed to control the epidemics and to flat the infection curve. A simple three steps procedure is proposed to predict the time evolution of the epidemics and a criteria to resume 'normal' activities after quarantine is proposed.
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