Selected article for: "large population and virus containment"

Author: Dell'Anna, Luca
Title: Solvable delay model for epidemic spreading: the case of Covid-19 in Italy
  • Cord-id: uy6fad0d
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
  • ID: uy6fad0d
    Snippet: We present a simple model for describing the diffusion of an infectious disease on a population of individuals. The dynamics is governed by a single functional delay differential equation, which, in the case of a large population, can be solved exactly. This delay model can be put in relation with the so-called SIR model, commonly used in epidemiology, which, instead, is formulated in terms of a set of three ordinary differential equations. We apply our model to describe the outbreak of the new
    Document: We present a simple model for describing the diffusion of an infectious disease on a population of individuals. The dynamics is governed by a single functional delay differential equation, which, in the case of a large population, can be solved exactly. This delay model can be put in relation with the so-called SIR model, commonly used in epidemiology, which, instead, is formulated in terms of a set of three ordinary differential equations. We apply our model to describe the outbreak of the new virus COVID-19 in Italy, taking into account the containment measures implemented by the government in order to mitigate the spreading of the virus and the social costs for the population.

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