Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; René Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Constantin Weiser; Klaus Wälde
Title: Should contact bans be lifted in Germany? A quantitative prediction of its effects Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: h86mpz6o_21
Snippet: We will employ the terms prevalence and incidence distinctly throughout the paper. Incidence is the number of individuals that are reported for the …rst time to be sick on a given day. This is the in ‡ow into state 2: Prevalence is identical to N 2 (t) which denotes the (expected) number of sick individuals at a point in time t in state 2. Prevalence at t is the sum over all incidences from the beginning of the epidemic up to t minus the dece.....
Document: We will employ the terms prevalence and incidence distinctly throughout the paper. Incidence is the number of individuals that are reported for the …rst time to be sick on a given day. This is the in ‡ow into state 2: Prevalence is identical to N 2 (t) which denotes the (expected) number of sick individuals at a point in time t in state 2. Prevalence at t is the sum over all incidences from the beginning of the epidemic up to t minus the deceased and the recovered individuals.
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