Author: Biqing Chen; Hao Liang; Xiaomin Yuan; Yingying Hu; Miao Xu; Yating Zhao; Binfen Zhang; Fang Tian; Xuejun Zhu
Title: Roles of meteorological conditions in COVID-19 transmission on a worldwide scale Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: 3svnvozz_39
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.16.20037168 doi: medRxiv preprint We further tried to predict daily COVID-19 case counts in the future days using this best fitted model, in combination with weather observations in the last 14 days, for five high-latitude cities, namely, New York in the United States, Toronto in Canada, Milan in Italy, Paris in France, and Cologne in Germany. Figure 8 showed the predicted d.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.16.20037168 doi: medRxiv preprint We further tried to predict daily COVID-19 case counts in the future days using this best fitted model, in combination with weather observations in the last 14 days, for five high-latitude cities, namely, New York in the United States, Toronto in Canada, Milan in Italy, Paris in France, and Cologne in Germany. Figure 8 showed the predicted daily case counts curve. It shows that COVID-19 outbreak in Milan and Toronto will sustain in the future 12 days, but exhibits a transient decrease on March 26; virus transmission in Paris and Cologne will increase and reached a peak on March 26, but quickly drop down after that day; the epidemic trend in New York will fluctuate in the following days.
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