Author: Jean Roch Donsimoni; René Glawion; Bodo Plachter; Constantin Weiser; Klaus Wälde
Title: Should contact bans be lifted in Germany? A quantitative prediction of its effects Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: h86mpz6o_23
Snippet: The population in our model is characterized by an infection rate which is simply the ratio of the number of infected individuals (sick and in state 2 or without symptoms in state 4) to 5 Our earlier paper ) discusses in detail how we quantify this ‡ow. The crucial assumption concerns the share of infected individuals that do not display symptoms or are not reported. We assume this share is around 80% to 90%. In terms of model parameters, this .....
Document: The population in our model is characterized by an infection rate which is simply the ratio of the number of infected individuals (sick and in state 2 or without symptoms in state 4) to 5 Our earlier paper ) discusses in detail how we quantify this ‡ow. The crucial assumption concerns the share of infected individuals that do not display symptoms or are not reported. We assume this share is around 80% to 90%. In terms of model parameters, this means we assume r = 10% (see below). 6 We denote this by N ever .
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