Author: Stephen M Kissler; Christine Tedijanto; Marc Lipsitch; Yonatan Grad
Title: Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: nzat41wu_24
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.22.20041079 doi: medRxiv preprint (A) four weeks, (B) eight weeks, (C) twelve weeks, and (D) twenty weeks (see Figure S5 for a scenario with wintertime R0 = 2.5). The effectiveness of social distancing varied from none to a 60% reduction in R0. Cumulative infection sizes are depicted beside each prevalence plot (E-H) with the herd immunit.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.22.20041079 doi: medRxiv preprint (A) four weeks, (B) eight weeks, (C) twelve weeks, and (D) twenty weeks (see Figure S5 for a scenario with wintertime R0 = 2.5). The effectiveness of social distancing varied from none to a 60% reduction in R0. Cumulative infection sizes are depicted beside each prevalence plot (E-H) with the herd immunity threshold (horizontal black bar). Preventing widespread infection during the summer can flatten and prolong the epidemic but can also lead to a high density of susceptible individuals who could become infected in an intense autumn wave.
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