Author: Stephen M Kissler; Christine Tedijanto; Marc Lipsitch; Yonatan Grad
Title: Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: nzat41wu_22
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org /10.1101 /10. /2020 There is no seasonal forcing; R0 was held constant at 2 (see Figure S4 for R0 = 2.5). The effectiveness of social distancing varied from none to a 60% reduction in R0. Cumulative infection sizes are depicted beside each prevalence plot (E-H) with the herd immunity threshold (horizontal black bar). Long-term (20-week), moderately effec.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org /10.1101 /10. /2020 There is no seasonal forcing; R0 was held constant at 2 (see Figure S4 for R0 = 2.5). The effectiveness of social distancing varied from none to a 60% reduction in R0. Cumulative infection sizes are depicted beside each prevalence plot (E-H) with the herd immunity threshold (horizontal black bar). Long-term (20-week), moderately effective (20%-40%) social distancing yields the smallest overall peak and total outbreak size.
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